Washington State Supreme Court 2026

Potential Candidates for Two Opening Seats

Moses Lake Schools Transparency Project
Research Report | January 30, 2026
Document Version 1.0 | Page ID: WASC-2026-CANDIDATES

Background Context

Two Washington State Supreme Court seats will open in 2026 due to mandatory retirement and voluntary departure. This report profiles potential candidates currently in the judicial pipeline who may seek these positions, based on deep biographical research that examines educational background, career patterns, professional associations, family networks, and life choices—the real indicators of judicial philosophy beyond campaign statements.

Seats Opening:

Research Methodology Note

Campaign statements are boilerplate and nearly worthless. This analysis examines who raised them, who mentored them, their actual life choices, who they married, where they live, where they send their children to school, their deeper biographical patterns, and their professional associations. These reveal far more than any judicial philosophy statement ever could.

Position 4: Candidates for Justice Charles Johnson's Seat

Judge Sean P. O'Donnell - King County Superior Court

Educational Background

Professional Background

The Smoking Gun: Lakeside School Board Chair

This is the defining biographical fact. O'Donnell serves as Board Chair of Lakeside School, the most elite progressive private institution in the Pacific Northwest:

  • $44,000+ annual tuition (among highest in nation)
  • $260 million endowment
  • Alumni include Bill Gates, Paul Allen, and Seattle tech billionaire class
  • Mission statement: "Diversity, inclusion, and global citizenship" (adopted 2003)
  • Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation donated $40 million for "global service learning"
  • Students engage in service projects in China, India, Peru

You don't become Board Chair of this institution by accident. This reveals his actual social network, values, and where his family likely sends their children to school.

Family and Social Networks

Additional Professional Associations

Awards and Recognition

Political Assessment: Progressive Establishment Liberal

Profile: Classic progressive establishment liberal. Catholic upbringing but secular progressive in practice. Wealthy, well-connected, socially liberal. The Lakeside Board Chair position places him squarely in Seattle's progressive elite circles—the network of tech billionaires, corporate executives, and progressive philanthropists.

What His Life Choices Reveal:

  • Prosecutor background in King County (very progressive jurisdiction) - not rural conservative county
  • Involvement with racial equity organizations (Rainier Scholars)
  • Catholic schooling background but chose elite progressive school network for own family
  • Comfortable with extreme wealth AND progressive social causes - establishment liberal pattern

Likely Judicial Philosophy: Center-left to left. Would maintain or slightly increase liberal orientation of Justice Johnson's seat (Johnson's campaign finance score: -1.16, more liberal than WA average -0.91). On constitutional questions, would likely vote with progressive majority 85-95% of the time.

On Conservative Policy Issues:

  • Educational freedom/school choice: Likely opposes vouchers and charter expansion (elite private school for own kids reveals class perspective)
  • Parental rights: Would favor state/school authority over parental objections in most conflicts
  • Gun rights: Would uphold restrictions (assault weapon bans, capacity limits, waiting periods)
  • Abortion: Strong pro-choice, would strike down restrictions
  • Immigration: Pro-immigrant rights

Position 3: Candidates for Justice Raquel Montoya-Lewis's Seat

Judge J. Michael "Mike" Diaz - Washington Court of Appeals Division I

Educational Background

The Defining Life Pattern: Working-Class Immigrant to Civil Rights Champion

Classic progressive trajectory:

  1. Immigrant origins: Born Lima, Peru; immigrated as infant
  2. Working-class upbringing: Ballard → White Center/Burien (progressively lower-income neighborhoods)
  3. Spanish-only household: First lawyer in large Latino family
  4. Elite education as vehicle: Notre Dame → Princeton → Cornell
  5. Dedication to civil rights over wealth: Left corporate law to prosecute civil rights violations

Professional Background - The Tell

Awards and Recognition (Civil Rights Focus)

Community Involvement

What He DIDN'T Do (Revealing Absences)

Political Assessment: Solid Progressive/Liberal

Profile: Clear progressive. Classic story: immigrant kid → elite education → dedicates entire career to civil rights enforcement. Obama nominee. Civil rights prosecutor. Two Inslee appointments. This is not a moderate—this represents the Bernie Sanders wing of the Democratic Party on the bench.

Career Pattern Analysis: Every single professional choice reveals commitment to progressive values:

  • QUIT lucrative corporate career for civil rights work (salary cut to serve values)
  • Founded Civil Rights Program (passion project, not resume builder)
  • Highest DOJ civil rights awards (peers recognized dedication)
  • Teaching civil rights (sharing knowledge, not maximizing income)
  • Spanish legal clinic volunteer (serving immigrant community)

Obama Nomination Significance: In 2016, Obama nominated Diaz for federal bench. Republican Senate refused even a hearing. This was not accidental—they recognized his progressive credentials and blocked him accordingly. This is a key indicator.

Likely Judicial Philosophy: Would be among MOST liberal justices on Washington Supreme Court. Would likely be MORE progressive than Montoya-Lewis. On constitutional questions, would vote with progressive wing 95%+ of the time.

On Conservative Policy Issues:

  • Educational freedom/school choice: Strongly opposes—views as undermining public education and equal opportunity
  • Parental rights: Strongly favors individual child rights over parental authority (especially in gender identity, medical decisions)
  • Gun rights: Supports strong restrictions, would uphold virtually any gun control measure
  • Abortion: Extremely pro-choice, would strike down any restrictions
  • Immigration: MOST pro-immigrant voice on court (immigrant family background, Spanish clinic work) - would be strongest advocate for immigrant rights
  • Police accountability: Pro-reform (prosecuted police misconduct) - would favor restrictions on police authority
  • Racial justice: Strong advocate (entire career focus) - would support affirmative action, anti-discrimination enforcement

Comparison to Montoya-Lewis: Diaz would likely be MORE consistently progressive. While Montoya-Lewis brought important Native American perspective and social justice focus, Diaz brings decade-long federal civil rights enforcement background. This is not a moderate replacement—this is a progressive intensification of the seat.

Additional Context: The 2024 Race (Conservative Candidates Eliminated)

The 2024 election for Position 2 (Justice Susan Owens' retirement seat) demonstrates the difficulty conservative candidates face in statewide judicial races.

Todd Bloom - Clear Conservative (Eliminated in Primary)

Dave Larson - Clear Conservative (Lost General Election)

Significance: Even in an open seat (no incumbent), conservative candidates could not advance. Bloom (explicit Federalist Society, Republican candidate) finished 3rd. Larson (Republican endorsed, anti-Inslee) lost general election. This demonstrates the progressive tilt of statewide judicial elections in Washington.

Summary: Impact on Washington Supreme Court

Neither Seat Will Move Conservative

Position 4 (Johnson's seat):

Position 3 (Montoya-Lewis's seat):

Overall Court Direction: Washington Supreme Court will maintain or strengthen its liberal majority. A 2012 study ranked it as 5th most liberal state supreme court nationwide—these 2026 changes will not alter that positioning.